科學家預測:如果不能迅速找到疫苗美國可能忍受社交距離到2022年

US may have to endure social distancing until 2022 if no vaccine is quickly found, scientists predict

科學家預測,如果到2022年還不能迅速找到疫苗,美國可能不得不忍受社交距離

By Leah Asmelash and Maggie Fox, CNN 莉婭·阿斯梅拉什和麥琪·福克斯,CNN報道

Updated 0119 GMT (0919 HKT) April 15, 2020

更新時間:2020年4月15日格林尼治時間0119(香港時間0919

科學家預測:如果不能迅速找到疫苗美國可能忍受社交距離到2022年


The US may have to endure social distancing measures -- such as stay-at-home orders and school closures -- until 2022, researchers projected on Tuesday. That is, unless, a vaccine becomes quickly available.

研究人員週二預測,美國可能不得不忍受社會疏遠措施——比如在家辦公和停課——直到2022年。除非能迅速研製出疫苗。

That's according to researchers from the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, who published their findings in the 這是哈佛大學陳曾熙公共衛生學院的研究人員得出的結論 journal Science on Tuesday 週二的《科學》雜誌.

Those findings directly contradict research being touted by the White House that suggests the pandemic may stop this summer. 。這些發現與白宮宣揚的流感大流行可能在今年夏天停止的研究結果直接矛盾。

科學家預測:如果不能迅速找到疫苗美國可能忍受社交距離到2022年


Long-term social distancing may be traumatic. Here is what to expect and what to do

長期的社交距離可能會帶來創傷。以下是應該期望的和應該做的

The team at the Harvard School of Public Health used what's known about Covid-19 and other coronaviruses to create possible scenarios of the current pandemic.

哈佛大學公共衛生學院的研究小組利用已知的Covid-19和其他冠狀病毒創造了當前大流行的可能情景。

"Intermittent distancing may be required into 2022 unless critical care capacity is increased substantially or a treatment or vaccine becomes available," they wrote in their report. "Even in the event of apparent elimination, SARS-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained since a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024."

他們在報告中寫道:“除非重症監護能力大幅增加,或者有治療或疫苗可用,否則到2022年可能需要間歇性的隔離。”“即使在明顯消除的情況下,SARS-CoV-2監測也應該保持,因為傳染病可能在2024年才會捲土重來。”



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