印度經濟會超過中國嗎？至少在這兩年，印度的經濟擴張速度超過了競爭對手中國。
新德里-印度的經濟擴張速度加快至近兩年來的最快速度，在成為世界上增長最快的經濟體的競爭中進一步領先於競爭對手中國。因為政府對現金的打壓和新稅的通過對經濟的影響逐漸消失。
根據政府週四發佈的數據顯示，截至今年3月份的頭3個月，亞洲第三大經濟體國內生產總值同比增長7.7%。這比經濟學家預測的7.4%要高，也比前一季度7%的增長率要高。印度已連續第二季度成為世界上增長最快的大型經濟體，過去一年由中國佔據這一頭銜。過去兩個季度，中國經濟增長6.8%。
在整個財政年度裡，印度經濟增長6.7%，比前一年7.1%的增長速度要慢。因為印度總理納倫達•莫迪突然採取行動，禁止印度高面額貨幣流通——即所謂的“廢止貨幣流通”——以及新出臺的全國增值稅，這一突然舉動，打亂了印度經濟。
儘管總體數據看起來令人印象深刻，但推動經濟發展的大部分動力都是由需求推動的。對於創造新的就業機會至關重要的私人投資則比較滯後。出口依然低迷，農民負債累累，農村地區的需求尚未完全恢復。隨著明年大選臨近，莫迪面臨著越來越大的壓力，要求他推動經濟全面復甦。越來越多的人批評說，每年有1000多萬印度人加入勞動大軍，卻沒有創造足夠的就業機會。
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以下是美國網友的評論：
[–]carltonf
They said the same thing roughly a decade ago and here we are. India has its own issues they really need address quickly and it's not about competing with China. Pitching India against China serves' no one's interest but the West.
他們在大約十年前說了同樣的話，現在我們到了（如今的地步）。印度有自己的問題，他們真的需要儘快解決，而不是與中國競爭。將印度與中國對立起來不符合雙方利益，只對西方國家有利。
[–]HypothesisFrog
Now if they can just maintain that 7.5% for twenty years, they might just catch up to where China is (at the moment).
現在，如果他們能將7.5%的增長率維持20年，他們可能會趕上中國(目前的水平)。（注：1.075^20=4.248）
[–]lvreddit1077United States
India's growth rate should be higher because it has a much smaller economy and much more room to grow. China already went through its massive growth spurt.
印度的增長率應該更高，因為它的經濟規模要小得多，增長空間也要大得多。中國已經經歷了巨大的經濟急劇增長期。
[–]chinaxiha
isn't China's year on year growth in absolute terms larger than the entire Indian economy in nominal terms? That's like Mozambique posting 20% growth rates and saying they are growing faster than China?
按絕對值計算，中國的同比增長（比上年增長）難道不大於整個印度經濟的名義增長嗎?這就像莫桑比克公佈了20%的增長率，並說他們的增長速度比中國快?
[–]oGsBumder
isn't China's year on year growth in absolute terms larger than the entire Indian economy in nominal terms?
Definitely not. The Indian economy is about 22% of the size of China's, so China would need to be growing at 22% every year for your statement to be true.
絕對不會。印度的經濟規模約為中國的22%，因此中國需要以每年22%的速度增長，才能實現你的說法。
[–]Jman-laowai
The Indian economy will almost certainly overtake the Chinese economy in the coming decades
未來幾十年，印度經濟幾乎肯定會超過中國。
[–]kulio_forever[S]
I dont give a fuck about narrative really, I like to think about reality. Reality is that the Chinese economy is weak now, plagued by inflation, low wages, and lots of other fun stuff
我對敘述一點也不感興趣，我喜歡思考現實。現實情況是，中國經濟目前處於疲軟狀態，通脹、低工資和許多其他有趣的東西困擾著中國經濟。
[–]upperwater
Ironically, having inflation indicates a strong, healthy economy. Wages in relative terms is almost irrelevant to how an economy is doing, and wages in China are certainly much higher in India. In fact, if anything, rising wages would be what is damaging the economy for China. What you said isn't reality, nor economically accurate.
具有諷刺意味的是，通貨膨脹意味著一個強勁、健康的經濟。相對而言，工資水平與經濟狀況幾乎無關，而中國的工資水平（相比印度）肯定要高得多。事實上，如果說有什麼不同的話，那就是工資上漲會損害中國的經濟。你所說的既不現實，在經濟上也不準確。
[–]lax866
China's rival is USA, not india. India can't even make their own electronics other than assembling them from Chinese parts. So I'm not concerned about this ""rival" lmbo.
Also %%%'s of economic growth for poor countries (India is as poor as Africa) don't matter. You have to look at aggregate growth. China is still adding many times over yearly to their economy what India is adding.
After they learn to use toilets and start manufacturing my iphone you can talk about india again. *Mic drop*
中國的對手是美國，而不是印度。印度除了從中國進口零部件組裝電子產品外，甚至無法制造自己的電子產品。所以我並不擔心這個“競爭對手”。同樣，貧窮國家的經濟高增長(印度和非洲一樣貧窮)也不重要。你必須關注總體增長。中國每年的經濟增長仍是印度的很多倍。在他們學會使用廁所並開始製造我的iphone之後，你可以再談談印度。
[–]KF02229
Countries living in glass houses or undergoing ‘toilet revolutions’ should not throw stones.
生活在玻璃房子裡或正在經歷“廁所革命”的國家不應該扔石頭。（注：即自己處於不利地位，不要做危害自己的事）
[–]D-E-S-I-G-N-A-T-E-D 0
India is still picking low hanging fruit at the moment, China was growing at 15% when it was picking the same low hanging fruit. Also 6.9% of 14 trillion is more then 7.7% of 2.5 trillion.
印度目前仍在採摘低懸的果子（容易實現的目標），而中國在採摘低懸果子時的增長率為15%。14萬億的6.9%比2.5萬億的7.7%更多。
[–]D-E-S-I-G-N-A-T-E-D
The Chinese economy will grow by a trillion dollars in 2018, and is creating 1 india every 3 years. Meanwhile India will grow 200 billion, and create 1 Year of chinese growth in 4-5 years. The gap is widening not closing, it's only the rate at which it is widening that is decreasing.
中國經濟在2018年將增長一萬億美元，並且每三年就會創造一個印度。與此同時，印度將增長2000億美元，4-5年才能創造中國1年的增長。差距在擴大而不是縮小，只是擴大的速度在減緩。
[–]dene323
Frankly I have no idea why you would be downvoted for simply putting the numbers in perspective. Someone must really hate math during school years eh?
坦率地說，我不知道為什麼僅僅因為你提供了正確地看待這些數字的觀點而被否決。有些人一定真的討厭上學期間的數學吧?
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