Will the Indian economy exceed China?
印度經濟什麼時候能超過中國經濟？
quora讀者的評論：
Harsh Bansal, Civil Servant at Government of India (2017-present)
India has a big advantage which china does n’t which is demographic dividend.India’s 65% population is below 35 and on the other hand China’s population is ageing which led to Increase in labor cost.When labor cost will rise then all manufacturing companies try to shift their base in country where they will get abundant labor at low cost.This will be our India.
印度有一個巨大的優勢是中國沒有的，那就是人口紅利。
印度65%的人口年齡在35歲以下，而中國人口不斷在老化，導致用工成本不斷上升。
勞動力成本上升後，工廠就會遷往勞動力成本更低的國家，也就是我們印度
But Tricky part is there that we have to make successful our “Make In India” and “Skill India” initiative through various reforms like Tax reforms, reducing red tap-ism, labor reforms and also focus on massive infrastructure building like roads,railways etc .
If all this done properly through political stability then definitely Indian economy exceed China.
I wish that dream become reality so that we can ensure economic justice to people which is promised by Preamble of Constitution.
棘手的是，我們的“印度製造”計劃必須取得成功，先進行稅收改革，減少繁文縟節，修改勞動法，大規模修建公路和鐵路等基礎設施。
如果這一切都能有條不紊地進行，而且能同時保持政治穩定，那麼印度經濟必定能超過中國經濟。
希望這個夢想能成真。
It’s possible but it’s unlikely. China has been growing just as fast as India if not faster and India has only JUST began to grow faster thanks to Modi. China had a 15 year head start. Also I think the socialism has helped China because it educates the new generation and because the state supports most businesses financially; India is capitalist and its democracy means decisions take time to take effect. I’d say India has the potential to exceed China sometime between 2050 and 2070
可能超過中國經濟，又不大可能超過。
中國經濟增速即使沒有比印度經濟更快，也至少一樣快。
印度還是多虧了莫迪，經濟才開始有起色的。
中國有15年的先發優勢。
社會主義推動了中國的發展，教育了新一代人，國家在財政上支持企業發展。
印度的皿煮，意味著決策比較費時間。
這樣說吧，印度是有超過中國的潛力，超過的這個時間點介於2050年至2070年之間。
China’s GDP is USD 11.4 trillion (2016; IMF). India’s GDP is USD 2.25 trillion (2016; IMF). These economies are in no way comparable. The Chinese economy is more than 5 times larger. China’s GDP per capita stands at USD 8,260 and that of India at USD 1,718. China’s population (1.37 billion) and the population of India (1.34 billion) are comparable — but China is five times richer on a per capita basis.
中國GDP規模為11.4萬億美元，印度GDP為2.25萬億美元。
兩國經濟規模沒得比，有著巨大差距。
中國經濟規模是印度經濟的5倍。
中國人均GDP為8260美元，印度人均GDP為1718美元。
中國人口13.7億，印度人口13.4億。
中國人均GDP是印度人均GDP的5倍。
It helps to play around with the numbers cited above to understand how erroneous expectations have been. If one assumes that India continues to grow at a rate of 7.5%, and China at a rate of 6.3% from here on out, it will take 127 years before India’s per capita growth will actually begin to exceed China’s.
如果印度經濟保持7.5%的增速，中國經濟保持6.3%的增長，那麼印度需要127年，人均GDP的增量才會開始超過中國
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