朝鮮半島的局勢演變一直是國際社會密切關注的話題，萬眾矚目的第二次“特金會”暗淡落幕，以未達成任何協議而告終。未來半島局勢會朝著什麼方向發展？朝鮮半島是否安全？能否真正實現無核化？

The changing situation in the Korean Peninsula has long drawn close attention from the international community. The second summit between the United States and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea(DPRK), concluded without any deal and left the world to wonder, which direction is the future of the Peninsula is heading? Is the Korean Peninsula safe? Can denuclearization in the Peninsula be achieved?

在China Focus的專訪中，韓國總統統一、外交、安全事務特別助理文正仁將為我們解局錯綜複雜的半島形勢，展望半島未來發展。

To discuss these issues and more, China Focus exclusively interviewed Special Security adviser to the President of the Republic of Korea(ROK), Moon Chung-in, who analyzed and deciphered the complexities of the Peninsula situation, and gave a glimpse into the area's future.

▲ 韓國總統統一外交安全特別助理文正仁

Special Adviser on Unification, Diplomacy and National Security to the President of the Republic of Korea

文正仁在韓國延世大學擔任政治外交系教授，亦曾在美國多所大學任教，是一位瞭解美國外交的美國通，又非常熟悉朝鮮事務。2017年5月文在寅總統上任不久任命他為負責統一、外交、安全事務的總統特別助理。他被稱為韓朝領導人會晤“文金會”的主要幕後推手，對新加坡的“特金會”也起到了穿針引線的作用。

Having held the post of professor of political science at Yonsei University,Moon Chung-in has also worked for several American universities, making him an experienced operator in US diplomacy and DPRK affairs. Not long after ROK President Moon Jae-in took office in May 2017, Moon Chung-in was nominated as special security adviser to President Moon Jae-in, taking charge of issues including unification, diplomacy and security affairs. Moon Chung-inhas been credited with facilitating the summits between Moon Jae-in and Kim Jong-un, as well as the first summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un in Singapore.

文正仁經常語出驚人，頻頻在半島問題上發表犀利言論。通過專訪，我們將瞭解到他如何評價中國在化解朝美問題上發揮的作用，以及他認為中韓兩國發展面臨的最大問題是什麼。

Moon Chung-in has consistently given both startling and poignant statements when commenting issues in the Peninsula. In this exclusive interview, we will have a chance to learn his thoughts on China's role in resolving U.S.-DPRK issues, and the biggest development challenges that China and ROK face, respectively.

朝鮮半島安全嗎？

Is the Korean Peninsula Safe?

文正仁回憶道：“2017年是充滿了危機、衝突和焦慮的一年。朝鮮試射了11枚彈道導彈，並進行了第六次氫彈核試驗。西方對此深感擔憂。但2018年，形勢發生了大轉變，韓國總統文在寅與朝鮮最高領導人金正恩進行了三次會晤。”

"The year 2017 was a year of crisis, chaos and anxiety," Moon recalled. "North Korea test launched 11 ballistic missiles. It also conducted its sixth nuclear test, this time testing a hydrogen bomb. The West was concerned. But in 2018, there was a great reversal. President Moon Jae-in met Chairman Kim Jong-un three times."

不過，談及半島局勢現狀，他表示仍然存在很多困難。目前美國對朝鮮的態度非常強硬，在沒有真正實現半島無核化之前，美國不會解除對朝制裁。朝鮮方面又不會退讓接受提議，因此美朝之間仍然存在僵局。文正仁補充道，希望在中國與俄羅斯的幫助下，這一問題將有所突破。

But when discussing the current situation in the Korean Peninsula, Moonagrees that there are still many obstacles to overcome. Now, the United States remains very, very firm on North Korea. The stated American position dicates that there will be no relaxation of sanctions against North Korea without complete denuclearization. North Korea cannot make such concessions and accept this proposal, making the likelihood of an agreement between Pyongyang and Washington unlikely anytime soon. Moon added that hopefully with the help of the Chinese government, or even the Russian government, there can be a breakthrough.

朝鮮半島的和平與繁榮將有利於東北亞、整個亞洲，以及全世界的發展。如果不能實現無核化，這樣的和平與繁榮也將無法實現, 他強調道。

Peace and prosperity in Korea can be beneficial to the Northeast Asian region, Asia and the world as a whole. But peace and prosperity in Korea cannot be achieved without North Korean denuclearization, and indeed the denuclearization of the entire Korean Peninsula, Moon stressed.

如何評價中國在推進朝鮮半島和平進程中扮演的角色？

What Has Been China's Role in the Korea Peninsula Peace Process?

“中國發揮著至關重要的作用，在中國的努力下，朝鮮領導人走向談判桌，通過對話協商推進半島無核化,”文正仁高度評價了中國在維護半島和平上所做的貢獻。如果沒有中國所做的努力，這些都是無法實現的。

"China has played a very, very crucial role in facilitating the participation of the North Korean leader in dialogue and negotiation, and in pursuing denuclearization,"Moon said of China's contribution to maintaining peace in the Korean Peninsula. He emphasized that without Chinese efforts, such progress would not have been possible.

他認為正是在中國的積極推動下，朝鮮領導人金正恩在新加坡與美國總統特朗普進行了首次會晤，在板門店和平壤與韓國總統文在寅舉行了會談。

Moon added that Chairman Kim Jong-un's visit to Singapore and his meeting with President Trump is indicative of such progress, as was Kim Jong-un's visit to Panmunjom and his acceptance of President Moon Jae-in in Pyongyang.

▲ 2018年6月12日，韓國最高領導人金正恩與美國總統特朗普在新加坡舉行會晤。

Top leaders of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) Kim Jong-un and U.S. President Donald Trump meet in Singapore on June 12, 2018.

中國政府始終重視朝鮮半島的和平與穩定，積極推動半島無核化，倡導通過對話和協商的方式，和平解決待決問題，這些政策都是正確的，也是合理的。中國一直主張“雙暫停”策略，即朝鮮暫停導彈試驗與核試驗，美韓暫停聯合軍演。還有“雙軌並行”思路，即在實現朝鮮無核化的同時，建立半島和平機制兩條軌道。而這與韓國政府的策略不謀而合。

"This has been made possible because the Chinese government has been emphasizing peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula and the peaceful resolution of all pending issues through dialogue and negotiation,"Moon explained."Those are the right policies and also, the Chinese government's strategy seems to be in the right place. The Chinese government has been emphasizing the double suspension: North Korea‘s missiles and nuclear testing, as well as the ROK-US joint military exercises and also using the two tracks to indicate the simultaneous pursuit of the denuclearization of Korea, along with peaceful regimes on the Korean Peninsula. And I think all those principles and strategies nicely dovetail with what the South Korean government has been thinking."

關於中韓關係，文正仁表示兩國合作十分緊密。中韓之間的首要議題就是如何實現半島無核化，以及如何實現半島和平。“很明顯，中國希望韓國拆除並停止部署‘薩德’系統，但如果沒有來自朝鮮的導彈威脅，韓國也就沒有繼續部署‘薩德’系統的正當性。”如果“薩德”系統被拆除，他認為中韓之間將會實現真正意義上的合作。

With regards to the China-South Korea relationship, Moon said the two countries have been cooperating very closely. "Their first common agenda is how to denuclearize Korea and promote peace in Korea. And obviously China wants the THAAD missile system deployed in Korea to be disassembled, and if there is no missile threat coming from North Korea, there will be very little justification to continue the system's deployment in South Korea". Moon said that the removal of the THAAD system would be an indication of real cooperation between Beijing and Seoul.

您希望未來取得什麼進展？

What Progress Do You Hope Will Be Made in the Future?

文正仁首先想到的是特朗普和金正恩的會談，同時金正恩也應訪韓。這樣的話雙方有希望發佈終戰宣言，併為簽署朝鮮半島區域和平協定共同努力。

Moon stresses another summit between President Trump and Chairman Kim Jong-un, and that then Kim Jong-un should pay a visit to Seoul. Moon added that he hopes there can be an end of war declaration on the Korean Peninsula and further progress toward a peaceful regional agreement.

“與此同時，我們也可以推動朝鮮的無核化進程。這就是我對2019年的期待。”他希望今年美朝兩國領導人能夠再次會晤。否則的話，朝鮮半島的和平以及無核化進程將無從談起。

"At the same time, we can make progress in the denuclearization of North Korea,"Moon

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